In [28]:
# OUTPUT_CELL
display(Markdown(output))
DAY 3 FOR THE REGGIE BUSH LEAGUE, 2026¶
Texas in, High Point out¶
Grayson, with a typo or two in his entry, is our new leader¶
DAY 3 SCORES¶
rank score champ runner-up
1 410 G Holland Duke Purdue
2 390 Paul Mazane Arizona Michigan State
3 380 Alex ML Florida Iowa State
380 Ben Truboff Gonzaga Duke
380 Dave Arizona Florida
380 Jason Matos Arizona Houston
380 Kevin Broich Arizona Illinois
380 Paul Mazanec Michigan UConn
380 Shonak Patel Arizona Houston
10 370 Celia R Arizona Florida
370 Julia Barclay Virginia Duke
370 Matt Manderfeld Arizona Florida
370 Michael Tracy Iowa State Houston
370 Nathaniel Michigan Duke
15 360 Brett Michigan UConn
360 Lauren Wanski Houston Michigan
360 Matt Manderfeld Michigan Houston
360 Wyatt Iowa State Houston
19 350 Hampton Barclay Michigan Duke
350 Jim Gammill Purdue Illinois
350 Matt Saldana UConn Santa Clara
350 Nathan Rothstein Iowa State Houston
350 Sean Arizona Duke
24 340 Ben Sampson Duke Arizona
340 Chris Leidel Arizona Kansas
340 Dan Rothstein Michigan Illinois
340 Joel Worthington Arizona UConn
340 Ross Michigan Florida
340 Steve Maltzman UConn Michigan
30 330 Peter Felion Duke Iowa State
31 320 Caroline Gammill UConn Virginia
320 Casey Farrell Florida Arizona
320 Kristen Carothers UConn Gonzaga
320 Rob Hamilton Florida Iowa State
35 310 Ben Sampson Iowa State Houston
310 Griffin Gammill Duke Purdue
310 Susan Alexander UConn Arizona
38 300 Andrew Koziol Duke Michigan
300 Bibeka Alabama Houston
300 Will Davis Arizona Florida
41 290 Robbie Michigan UConn
DESTROYED VALUE¶
rank destroyed value
1 700 Ben Truboff
2 540 Kristen Carothers
3 490 Matt Saldana
4 380 Bibeka
5 370 Ben Sampson
6 350 Susan Alexander
7 300 Andrew Koziol
8 280 Caroline Gammill
280 Will Davis
10 250 Nathan Rothstein
11 230 Robbie
12 220 Rob Hamilton
13 210 Sean
14 200 Dan Rothstein
15 190 Griffin Gammill
190 Hampton Barclay
17 180 Ben Sampson
180 Chris Leidel
180 Joel Worthington
180 Kevin Broich
180 Steve Maltzman
22 170 Celia R
170 Peter Felion
24 160 Casey Farrell
160 Matt Manderfeld
160 Wyatt
27 150 Nathaniel
28 140 Jason Matos
140 Paul Mazanec
140 Ross
140 Shonak Patel
32 130 Jim Gammill
33 120 Brett
120 Lauren Wanski
35 110 Julia Barclay
110 Matt Manderfeld
110 Michael Tracy
38 100 Alex ML
100 Dave
40 90 Paul Mazane
41 70 G Holland
NEW HOPE FOR BUSTED BRACKETS¶
1 bracket is busted -- let's look for a winning path for Ben Truboff¶
Winning path found for Ben Truboff! (winning score is 1000)
Champ: Miami FL
Runner-up: Duke
Final Four: Nebraska
Michigan
Elite Eight: Michigan State
Houston
Arizona
Virginia
Sweet Sixteen: UConn
Kansas
Florida
Illinois
Arkansas
Texas
Iowa State
Texas Tech
EXPECTED VALUES from simulations¶
E(value) Pr(1st) Pr(2nd) Pr(3rd) Avg-Win Best-Win
1 Jim Gammill 68.05 9.97 4.29 2.31 1209 1790
2 Paul Mazane 60.19 8.59 3.85 3.26 1082 1830
3 G Holland 48.22 5.87 10.02 5.95 1218 1830
4 Lauren Wanski 48.08 7.24 1.81 1.65 1293 1780
5 Alex ML 46.28 6.34 5.02 3.37 1251 1820
6 Julia Barclay 37.07 5.35 2.24 1.71 1259 1810
7 Matt Manderfeld 29.41 3.77 5.53 3.15 1191 1760
8 Wyatt 28.54 3.75 3.65 2.75 1292 1760
9 Kevin Broich 27.47 3.49 3.71 3.88 1178 1740
10 Michael Tracy 25.64 3.08 4.65 3.39 1244 1790
11 Casey Farrell 22.10 2.79 2.88 3.16 1351 1760
12 Brett 21.84 2.63 4.02 3.21 1139 1800
13 Dan Rothstein 21.62 2.94 1.92 2.60 1108 1720
14 Peter Felion 21.07 2.93 2.01 2.57 1242 1730
15 Shonak Patel 20.24 2.05 5.67 4.46 1219 1780
16 Steve Maltzman 19.45 2.65 2.02 1.66 1309 1740
17 Dave 18.91 2.19 4.36 3.94 1119 1820
18 Ross 18.87 2.52 2.46 2.85 1319 1780
19 Caroline Gammill 17.84 2.25 2.92 2.60 1143 1640
20 Paul Mazanec 17.70 2.24 3.52 3.14 1219 1760
21 Nathaniel 17.55 2.24 2.94 2.56 1297 1770
22 Ben Sampson 15.95 1.92 2.24 2.94 1372 1720
23 Chris Leidel 15.89 2.42 1.28 0.87 1017 1740
24 Bibeka 15.59 2.33 0.70 0.35 1114 1520
25 Matt Manderfeld 13.03 1.54 2.17 2.40 1113 1790
26 Griffin Gammill 12.42 1.04 4.01 5.14 1283 1730
27 Jason Matos 10.61 1.16 2.34 2.41 1091 1760
28 Rob Hamilton 9.68 0.81 3.23 3.76 1303 1700
29 Celia R 8.92 1.01 1.68 2.04 1271 1750
30 Joel Worthington 8.90 1.22 0.89 1.36 1322 1740
31 Sean 8.34 1.14 0.96 1.01 1371 1710
32 Andrew Koziol 8.07 1.05 0.96 0.78 1310 1600
33 Hampton Barclay 7.82 0.90 1.86 1.74 1224 1730
34 Susan Alexander 7.09 0.79 1.38 1.23 1361 1570
35 Matt Saldana 6.20 0.74 1.01 0.92 1160 1410
36 Nathan Rothstein 4.54 0.23 1.78 2.72 1141 1670
37 Ben Truboff 3.21 0.37 0.67 0.82 985 1220
38 Kristen Carothers 2.83 0.26 0.82 1.20 1182 1380
39 Robbie 1.99 0.09 0.70 1.27 1300 1670
40 Will Davis 1.98 0.21 0.50 0.74 1322 1640
41 Ben Sampson 0.78 0.01 0.10 1.11 1018 1550
LINKS FOR TODAY AND PREVIOUS DAYS¶
You will be able to find this page later at jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day3.html.
EARLIER PAGE LINKS¶
Day 0: jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day0.html.
Day 1: jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day1.html.
Day 2: jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day2.html.
HEAT MAPS¶
These include only the four most likely teams to reach the Final 4 in each bracket.¶
Listed here by Expected Value ranking¶
In [10]:
# OUTPUT_CELL
fig = heatMaps(*heatMapTup)
