In [13]:
# OUTPUT_CELL
display(Markdown(output))
DAY 2 FOR THE REGGIE BUSH LEAGUE, 2026¶
Collectively we did a good job of picking the upsets¶
More than half the brackets picked Utah State, Texas A&M, Iowa and Saint Louis¶
DAY 2 SCORES¶
rank score champ runner-up
1 280 Paul Mazanec Michigan UConn
2 260 Alex ML Florida Iowa State
260 Brett Michigan UConn
260 Jason Matos Arizona Houston
260 Kevin Broich Arizona Illinois
260 Kristen Carothers UConn Gonzaga
7 250 Celia R Arizona Florida
250 G Holland Duke Purdue
250 Hampton Barclay Michigan Duke
250 Jim Gammill Purdue Illinois
250 Julia Barclay Virginia Duke
250 Matt Manderfeld Arizona Florida
250 Matt Saldana UConn Santa Clara
250 Michael Tracy Iowa State Houston
250 Paul Mazane Arizona Michigan State
250 Susan Alexander UConn Arizona
17 240 Ben Sampson Duke Arizona
240 Ben Truboff Gonzaga Duke
240 Chris Leidel Arizona Kansas
240 Dan Rothstein Michigan Illinois
240 Dave Arizona Florida
240 Lauren Wanski Houston Michigan
240 Matt Manderfeld Michigan Houston
240 Ross Michigan Florida
240 Shonak Patel Arizona Houston
240 Steve Maltzman UConn Michigan
240 Will Davis Arizona Florida
240 Wyatt Iowa State Houston
29 230 Ben Sampson Iowa State Houston
230 Griffin Gammill Duke Purdue
230 Nathan Rothstein Iowa State Houston
230 Nathaniel Michigan Duke
230 Peter Felion Duke Iowa State
230 Sean Arizona Duke
35 220 Andrew Koziol Duke Michigan
220 Caroline Gammill UConn Virginia
220 Casey Farrell Florida Arizona
220 Joel Worthington Arizona UConn
220 Rob Hamilton Florida Iowa State
40 200 Bibeka Alabama Houston
41 190 Robbie Michigan UConn
DESTROYED VALUE¶
rank destroyed value
1 450 Matt Saldana
2 360 Bibeka
3 280 Andrew Koziol
4 230 Susan Alexander
5 200 Kristen Carothers
6 180 Rob Hamilton
180 Will Davis
8 170 Ben Sampson
170 Griffin Gammill
170 Nathan Rothstein
170 Robbie
12 160 Casey Farrell
160 Dan Rothstein
160 Joel Worthington
160 Wyatt
16 150 Nathaniel
17 140 Caroline Gammill
18 130 Hampton Barclay
130 Peter Felion
20 120 Steve Maltzman
21 110 Michael Tracy
22 100 Ben Sampson
100 Chris Leidel
100 Lauren Wanski
100 Matt Manderfeld
100 Ross
27 90 Celia R
90 Jim Gammill
90 Matt Manderfeld
90 Sean
31 80 Ben Truboff
80 Dave
80 Shonak Patel
34 70 G Holland
70 Julia Barclay
70 Paul Mazane
37 60 Alex ML
60 Brett
60 Jason Matos
60 Kevin Broich
60 Paul Mazanec
SIMULATIONS GIVE US EXPECTED VALUES¶
E(value) Pr(1st) Pr(2nd) Pr(3rd) Avg-Win Best-Win
1 Jim Gammill 58.62 8.53 3.63 2.46 1191 1790
2 Alex ML 51.80 7.43 5.16 3.55 1219 1860
3 Ben Truboff 45.41 6.86 1.82 1.58 1203 1820
4 Lauren Wanski 41.64 6.25 1.68 1.35 1272 1820
5 Julia Barclay 37.49 5.44 2.17 1.96 1223 1810
6 Paul Mazane 34.96 4.93 2.81 2.16 1063 1810
7 Kevin Broich 33.28 4.42 4.45 3.66 1130 1800
8 G Holland 28.91 3.27 6.95 4.47 1197 1810
9 Brett 25.73 3.37 4.25 3.26 1089 1800
10 Ben Sampson 21.80 2.77 2.99 3.12 1333 1820
11 Paul Mazanec 21.20 2.72 3.73 3.40 1180 1820
12 Matt Manderfeld 20.91 2.69 3.84 2.63 1167 1780
13 Wyatt 20.69 2.64 3.22 2.30 1271 1760
14 Michael Tracy 19.89 2.44 3.28 3.19 1222 1750
15 Peter Felion 19.66 2.66 2.02 2.33 1224 1750
16 Chris Leidel 19.37 2.82 1.77 1.28 1028 1800
17 Casey Farrell 19.35 2.55 2.57 3.26 1342 1760
18 Ross 18.30 2.44 2.52 2.76 1307 1820
19 Caroline Gammill 17.87 2.11 3.71 3.11 1127 1740
20 Steve Maltzman 17.22 2.22 2.46 2.00 1309 1760
21 Shonak Patel 17.12 1.72 4.69 4.25 1237 1840
22 Bibeka 16.63 2.51 0.62 0.33 1080 1540
23 Dan Rothstein 15.79 2.14 1.70 2.24 1102 1740
24 Dave 14.66 1.63 3.75 3.23 1107 1840
25 Kristen Carothers 14.51 1.61 3.67 3.13 1191 1700
26 Jason Matos 13.67 1.56 3.00 2.66 1084 1760
27 Celia R 12.52 1.39 2.55 2.84 1279 1790
28 Matt Manderfeld 12.11 1.42 2.16 2.29 1114 1790
29 Hampton Barclay 11.57 1.43 2.13 1.84 1247 1750
30 Sean 11.55 1.41 1.97 2.02 1311 1790
31 Susan Alexander 11.06 1.37 1.58 1.46 1307 1650
32 Griffin Gammill 10.80 0.90 3.49 4.10 1222 1730
33 Ben Sampson 10.70 1.33 1.61 2.15 1173 1750
34 Rob Hamilton 10.50 0.91 3.96 3.38 1277 1740
35 Nathaniel 8.46 1.02 1.70 1.73 1296 1770
36 Nathan Rothstein 8.40 0.85 2.21 2.38 1196 1710
37 Andrew Koziol 7.78 1.08 0.76 0.73 1272 1640
38 Joel Worthington 7.65 1.05 0.79 1.06 1350 1740
39 Will Davis 4.35 0.48 1.07 1.21 1186 1740
40 Matt Saldana 4.27 0.52 0.63 0.67 1138 1430
41 Robbie 1.79 0.07 0.67 1.23 1298 1730
FIND MY PATH -- for those at the bottom of Expected Value¶
Robbie has less than 2% chance of winning, but still has a prayer¶
Winning path found for Robbie! (winning score is 870)
Champ: Nebraska
Runner-up: Michigan
Final Four: Michigan State
High Point
Elite Eight: Kansas
Houston
Gonzaga
Virginia
Sweet Sixteen: Duke
UConn
Florida
Illinois
Arizona
Miami FL
Iowa State
Texas Tech
LINKS FOR TODAY AND PREVIOUS DAYS¶
You will be able to find this page later at jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day2.html.
EARLIER PAGE LINKS¶
Day 0: jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day0.html.
Day 1: jgweb.info/2026/RBL-Day1.html.
HEAT MAPS¶
These include only the four most likely teams to reach the Final 4 in each bracket.¶
Listed here by Expected Value ranking¶
In [10]:
# OUTPUT_CELL
fig = heatMaps(*heatMapTup)
